gps in the tractor and....
Precision Agriculture - does it have a future?
The term "Precision Agriculture" is here defined as "Variable Rate Application" (VRA)" of
cultivation inputs as e.g. seeds, fertilizers, pesticides and in principle also number and/or intensity
of soil tillage operations according to the variable demand within the field. It has always
been obvious to farmers, advisers and researchers that there is an infield variation in the
need of different input factors, and that VRA technology should have both agricultural and
environmental advantages. Around 1990 a new positioning technique, GPS, made it possible
to practice VRA. Investigations and research on the field variation in soil and plant parameters
were intensified in the early 1990's and VRA technology was improved and became
cheaper for the farmers. But even if the concept of VRA is obvious and the technique is available,
the commercial use today is very limited. That is the case in Denmark, Germany and
other North European Countries and it seems to be the case also in the rest of the world. In
Denmark use of VRA is limited to application of lime (approximately10 percent of the area
limed) and VRA of nitrogen is limited to application of fertilizer by 5-10 spreaders equipped
with the Yara-N-sensors. The use of VRA for liming seems to be significantly reduced from
2002 to 2004 (Pedersen, 2005). It seems that we have a situation, where we have the VRA
technology, the concept has obvious advantages from both an agricultural and an environmental
point of view, but only few farmers are using it and the use even seems to decrease. As
responsible for giving advice on the use of fertilizers we need to evaluate, if the farmers here
miss an opportunity for improving their profit and/or to reduce the environmental impact because
we have not been able to convince the farmers of the benefits of the concept. The reason
for this might be, that we have not been able to prove that the technique is profitable, provide
the correct technical solutions or the needed support to the farmers. The reason might
also be that the potential benefits are simply insignificant with the current technology and
knowledge.
Several investigations have been made to find the yield differences between uniform and
VRA of fertilizer. Most of the studies show no or a very limited yield response for VRA, if
the average level of application of nutrients is the same with both uniform and VRA. The Danish
Agricultural Advisory Service have since the beginning of the 1990's made a number of
such studies with nitrogen application trying to find the potential yield response and to test
different systems for VRA e.g. the Yara N-sensor. Most of the trials have been carried out in
fields with a high infield variation. The conclusion has been that the potential of VRA is typically
very limited and probably below 0.1 ton per ha and year in cereals. The conclusion of
our work is also, that the conditions in Denmark with limited N-quotas does not increase the
potential yield response. Some reasons for this relatively low potential yield gain for VRA are
5
•
the change in yield by small deviations from optimal application rate is limited•
area within a field with a significant deviation from the average nutrient demand is typicallysmall
•
in practice it is difficult to find the variation in the optimal demands within the fieldNormally the response curve for nutrients inclusive nitrogen is increasing until a plateau is
reached and yields will only start decreasing again with excessive over fertilization. If the environmental
impact of fertilization e.g. nitrogen leaching is included in the calculations, the
profit of VRA must be higher. We still have not made investigations of how VRA could be
used to reduce the environmental impact of fertilizations, but from a theoretical point of view
there should be a potential. If we look at the historical cereal yields for the western European
countries, the yield increase per year in the 1980's and 1990's was about 0.1 ton grain per ha
and year. If we look at the yield increase in the 2000's it has been much lower and for some
countries it has nearly stopped. We have been much concerned with this in Denmark in relation
to the fixed nitrogen quotas imposed here. No doubt the restricted nitrogen quotas partly
explain the missing yield increase. Another explanation could be that there has been much focus
on rationalization of fieldwork and to reduce costs because of low grain prices. This
means that the labor input per ha is much lower now than 10 years ago. And the farms have
increased significantly in size, and it is very common now to cultivate 2-300 ha per man. Also
professional farmers have bought neigh-boring farms and are now cultivating what used to be
5-10 independent farm units.
It gives a much higher area per field and more fields per farm. To rationalize we have seen the
problem that the farmers do not want to change fertilizer or pesticide type or even amount of
fertilizer between the fields. So in practice this is the opposite of Variable Rate Application.
The need for rationalization will also in the future be very important for the farmers growing
bulk crops like cereals. If VRA should be used more extensively in the future, is must be designed
as a system that simplify fieldwork and not like today give extra work for the farmer.
It must be in all researchers' and advisers' interest to develop such systems because the concept
of VRA is right both from an agronomic and environmental point of view, and we must
regard it as a defeat if we are not able to implement the technique in practice.